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Subtropical Storm Patty Graphics
2024-11-03 15:35:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 14:35:44 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 15:22:52 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Discussion Number 6
2024-11-03 15:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTNT42 KNHC 031434 TCDAT2 Subtropical Storm Patty Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 300 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 Patty is beginning to pull away from the Azores, with the center now just east of the easternmost islands. The storm is also on its way to becoming a post-tropical cyclone as deep convection has been absent for more than 6 hours. Recent ASCAT-A and ASCAT-B passes show peak winds in the 35-40 kt range, and based on that data and the degraded satellite appearance, the initial intensity is lowered to 40 kt. The strongest winds are occurring on the system's south side, just south of the easternmost Azores. Very strong westerly vertical wind shear, stable air, and cool waters should continue to cause weakening, and Patty will likely degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone in the next 6 to 12 hours. Dissipation has been moved up to 60 h based on the latest global model guidance. Patty is moving eastward at 14 kt in relatively zonal flow, and an eastward to east-northeastward toward western Europe is expected until the system dissipates. The NHC track forecast is near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 37.5N 24.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 04/0000Z 37.3N 21.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1200Z 38.3N 16.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0000Z 39.7N 12.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1200Z 40.8N 10.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Subtropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)
2024-11-03 15:33:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PATTY BEGINNING TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AZORES... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... As of 3:00 PM GMT Sun Nov 3 the center of Patty was located near 37.5, -24.3 with movement E at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics