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Tropical Depression Aletta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2024-07-05 16:42:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 051442 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012024 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Depression Aletta (EP1/EP012024)
2024-07-05 16:42:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ALETTA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... As of 8:00 AM MST Fri Jul 5 the center of Aletta was located near 18.8, -109.8 with movement W at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Aletta Public Advisory Number 5
2024-07-05 16:42:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM MST Fri Jul 05 2024 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 051442 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Aletta Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012024 800 AM MST Fri Jul 05 2024 ...ALETTA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 109.8W ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Aletta was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 109.8 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westward to west-southwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight weakening is expected today. Aletta will likely become a remnant low later today or tonight and dissipate shortly thereafter. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics