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Tropical Depression Eighteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2024-11-04 15:38:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 041438 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) 1(13) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 15(28) 1(29) X(29) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 24(41) 1(42) 1(43) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) 1(10) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 3(26) 1(27) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) 2(25) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 3(20) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 3(13) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 6(26) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 11(35) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) HOUMA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 2(12) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 22(38) 2(40) 1(41) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) 1(14) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 21(46) 1(47) X(47) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 12(12) 55(67) 8(75) 1(76) X(76) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) 31(31) 8(39) 1(40) X(40) ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 29(50) 3(53) X(53) 1(54) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 1( 1) 42(43) 8(51) X(51) 1(52) X(52) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTEGO BAY 34 1 31(32) 4(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) KINGSTON 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Tropical Depression Eighteen Forecast Advisory Number 4
2024-11-04 15:38:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 722 WTNT23 KNHC 041438 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 1500 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 76.9W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 76.9W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 76.7W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.5N 77.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.2N 79.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 80.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.7N 82.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.4N 83.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.6N 85.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 26.1N 87.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.4N 89.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 76.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen (AT3/AL182024)
2024-11-04 13:04:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS... As of 7:05 AM EST Mon Nov 4 the center of Eighteen was located near 14.8, -76.8 with movement N at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics