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Tropical Depression Grace Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2021-08-16 16:55:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 000 FONT12 KNHC 161455 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021 1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 13(24) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) LA PESCA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) LA PESCA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23) X(23) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 1(35) X(35) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 11(29) X(29) X(29) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGSTON 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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