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Tropical Depression Lane Graphics
2024-11-03 09:34:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 08:34:34 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 09:28:39 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Lane Forecast Discussion Number 7
2024-11-03 09:33:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 030833 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Lane Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 100 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 Lane is fading fast. Strong southwesterly shear associated with the flow on the southern side of a broad upper-level trough has disrupted the circulation of the tropical cyclone. Recent scatterometer data show that the low-level circulation center is losing definition, and the maximum winds have decreased to 30 kt at most. Enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that most of the associated deep convection, which was displaced well to the northeast of the estimated center, is dissipating. Given the current degradation of circulation and convection, the system is now expected to degenerate into a remnant low in about 12 hours. The initial motion is slightly south of west at around 5 kt. This general motion should continue for the next couple of days while the system is steered by the shallow low-level easterlies. The official track forecast has again been shifted slightly southward to conform to the latest numerical guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0900Z 11.2N 131.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 03/1800Z 11.1N 132.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/0600Z 10.9N 133.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/1800Z 10.7N 135.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Lane Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2024-11-03 09:33:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 030833 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132024 0900 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics