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Tropical Storm Beta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2020-09-22 10:56:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 220856 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) CAMERON LA 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) KOUNTZE TX 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) GALVESTON TX 34 5 16(21) 9(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) HOUSTON TX 34 17 12(29) 3(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) FREEPORT TX 34 32 12(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 1 9(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MATAGORDA TX 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 52 10(62) X(62) X(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) ROCKPORT TX 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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