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Tropical Storm Helene Forecast Advisory Number 5
2024-09-24 16:57:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 241457 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 84.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 84.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 83.7W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.3N 85.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.5N 86.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.2N 86.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...240NE 210SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.9N 85.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.7N 84.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 220SE 130SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.9N 83.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 150SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 39.7N 86.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 84.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 24/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-24 13:53:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
337 ABNT20 KNHC 241153 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-24 13:53:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241153 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 24 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm John, located just inland near the coast of southern Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics