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Tropical Storm John Public Advisory Number 2A
2024-09-23 07:39:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 AM CST Mon Sep 23 2024 933 WTPZ35 KNHC 230539 CCA TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm John Intermediate Advisory Number 2A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102024 1200 AM CST Mon Sep 23 2024 Corrected to add size of tropical storm force winds ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM JOHN... ...LIKELY TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO EARLY THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 98.5W ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM S OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Punta Maldonado to Salina Cruz For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm John was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 98.5 West. The system has been recently drifting northward, but a slow north-northeastward motion is expected to begin later today. A northeastward to east-northeastward motion is then anticipated on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the system is forecast to move near the southern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days until landfall. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km/h) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP5.shtml RAINFALL: Through Thursday, John is expected to produce 6 to 12 inches of rain with isolated totals around 15 inches across the coastal areas of Chiapas. In areas along and near the Oaxaca coast to southeast Guerrero, between 10 and 20 inches of rain with isolated totals near 30 inches can be expected through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with John (formerly Tropical Depression Ten-E), please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep10.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within portions of the watch area beginning on Tuesday. SURF: Swells associated with John are forecast to begin to affect the coast of southern Mexico later today, with the potential for dangerous surf and rip currents much of the week. Please see local statements for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-23 07:35:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230535 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm John, located just south of southern Mexico. Central Portion of the East Pacific: Showers and thunderstorm activity has diminished somewhat with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions only appear marginally favorable for slow development of this system as it moves slowly eastward to the south of the coast of Mexico through the middle of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm John are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm John are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics
2024-09-23 04:42:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2024 02:42:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2024 03:24:07 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics