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Tropical Storm Kevin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-08-08 16:46:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 08 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 081445 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 08 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 31 9(40) 3(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 15N 110W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 4( 5) 9(14) 5(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 45(56) 25(81) 1(82) X(82) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 29(45) X(45) X(45) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) X(22) X(22) 15N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 32(48) 1(49) X(49) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 33(45) 2(47) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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