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Tropical Storm Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 44
2017-09-27 04:32:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 270232 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLIP NY 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NWS EARLE NJ 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PHILADELPHIA 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 5 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BALTIMORE MD 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 4 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 6 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) OCEAN CITY MD 34 10 5(15) 3(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) PAX RIVER NAS 34 5 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 10 6(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) RICHMOND VA 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NORFOLK NAS 34 10 5(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NORFOLK VA 34 11 5(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) OCEANA NAS VA 34 13 6(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ELIZABETH CTY 34 15 6(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) RALEIGH NC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 34 9 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NEW RIVER NC 34 12 4(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MOREHEAD CITY 34 10 3(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) SURF CITY NC 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BALD HEAD ISL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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