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Tropical Storm Mario Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-09-18 16:32:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 991 FOPZ14 KNHC 181432 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM MARIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 15N 110W 34 28 3(31) 3(34) 2(36) 2(38) 1(39) X(39) 20N 110W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 8(17) 4(21) 1(22) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 4( 6) 10(16) 10(26) 14(40) 6(46) X(46) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ISLA CLARION 34 2 3( 5) 18(23) 17(40) 14(54) 9(63) 1(64) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 5(18) 2(20) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 15N 115W 34 2 6( 8) 8(16) 6(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) 20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 14(26) 19(45) 8(53) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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