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Tropical Storm Michael Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22
2018-10-12 04:53:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 000 FONT14 KNHC 120253 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 23(23) 14(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 32(32) 38(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) SABLE ISLAND 50 X 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HALIFAX NS 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HYANNIS MA 34 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 21(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MONTAUK POINT 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) OCEAN CITY MD 34 53 X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) PAX RIVER NAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 85 X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) RICHMOND VA 34 68 X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) NORFOLK NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEANA NAS VA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ROCKY MT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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