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Tropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 8
2024-10-21 04:44:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 210244 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.6W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.6W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.5W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.4N 75.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.9N 75.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N 74.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.4N 73.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.1N 72.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.3N 70.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 74.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 21/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-21 01:43:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 202342 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 20 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Oscar, located over eastern Cuba. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-21 01:43:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 202342 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Oct 20 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southwestern Mexico: A trough of low pressure over the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days, while the system moves westward at around 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics