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Tropical Storm Oscar Public Advisory Number 12A
2024-10-22 07:31:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 220531 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 200 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...POORLY ORGANIZED OSCAR MOVING TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 75.1W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF LONG ISLAND ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Central Bahamas * Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 75.1 West. Oscar is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (14 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected later today and on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to move near the southeastern and central Bahamas later today. Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Oscar could degenerate to a post-tropical low by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) east and northeast of the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the central and southeastern Bahamas today. RAINFALL: Through today, additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected, leading to storm total accumulations of 20 inches across portions of eastern Cuba. This rainfall may produce additional flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Across the southeastern Bahamas, rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated amounts around 8 inches, are expected. This rainfall could cause localized flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-22 07:05:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 220505 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kristy, located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Kristy are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Kristy are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 12
2024-10-22 05:01:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 220300 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0300 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 75.4W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 75.4W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 75.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 74.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.3N 73.3W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 71.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.3N 68.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 75.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category: Transportation and Logistics