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Tropical Storm Oscar Public Advisory Number 14
2024-10-22 16:55:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 221455 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR IS BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.9N 74.1W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Central Bahamas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 74.1 West. Oscar is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a faster northeastward motion is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar will be moving away from the Bahamas later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Oscar could dissipate later today, or merge with an extratropical low pressure system within the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the southeastern Bahamas today. RAINFALL: Across the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches are expected through today. This rainfall could cause localized flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 14
2024-10-22 16:54:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 221454 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 74.1W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 74.1W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 74.6W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.8N 70.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.5N 68.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 74.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics