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Tropical Storm Oscar Public Advisory Number 8A
2024-10-21 07:51:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2024 359 WTNT31 KNHC 210551 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Oscar Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2024 ...SLOW-MOVING OSCAR CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING OVER EASTERN CUBA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.2N 74.9W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM E OF GUANTANAMO CUBA ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM W OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North coast of the Cuban Provinces of Las Tunas, Holguin, and Guantanamo to Punta Maisi * South coast of Cuban Province of Guantanamo * Southeastern Bahamas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North coast of the Cuban Province of Camaguey * Central Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in the remainder of the Bahamas should monitor the progress of Oscar. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Oscar was located inland over eastern Cuba near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 74.9 West. Oscar is moving toward the west-southwest near 5 mph (8 km/h). A turn to the west and northwest is expected today, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Oscar is expected to continue moving across eastern Cuba through this afternoon, then emerge off the northern coast of Cuba late today or tonight and move near the southeastern and central Bahamas on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Oscar interacts with the mountainous terrain of eastern Cuba, but Oscar could still be a tropical storm when it moves north of Cuba late today and then moves near the southeastern and central Bahamas on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area and possible in the watch area of Cuba today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in parts of the southeastern Bahamas and possible in the watch area in parts of the central Bahamas today into Tuesday. RAINFALL: Through Wednesday morning, rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 18 inches are expected across eastern Cuba. Across the southeastern Bahamas, 3 to 5 inches are expected, with isolated amounts around 8 inches. Across the Turks and Caicos, an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected through Wednesday morning. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Water levels of 1 to 3 ft above normal tide levels are expected along the north shore of Cuba in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-21 07:39:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 210539 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Oscar, located over eastern Cuba. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-21 07:38:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 210538 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 20 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southwestern Mexico (EP90): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located more than 100 miles offshore the coast of southern Mexico have become a little better organized over the past several hours. Environmental conditions are favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression or storm is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves westward at around 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics