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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-11 19:45:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

893 ABPZ20 KNHC 111745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure offshore southern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as long as it remains over water, and a tropical depression could form tomorrow or early Monday while the system moves northwestward or north-northwestward toward the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Thereafter, further development is not expected due to interaction with land. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of southern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-11 13:36:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Sep 11 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Olaf, located about 100 miles west-southwest of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico. A broad area of low pressure appears to be forming a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. This system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the coast of Mexico to several hundred miles offshore. Gradual development of this system is possible if it remains over water, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while moving west-northwestward very near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Reinhart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-11 07:37:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110537 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Sep 10 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Olaf, located less than 100 miles west of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico. A broad area of low pressure developing a couple of hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are generally conducive for some development of this system if it remains over water, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-11 01:29:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102329 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 10 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Olaf, located just off the southwestern coast of Baja California Sur, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a couple of hundred miles of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico are associated with the southern portion of an approaching tropical wave. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along this wave to the south of the southern coast of Mexico during the next day or so. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally northwestward near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-10 19:36:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101736 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 10 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Olaf, located near the southwestern coast of Baja California Sur, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a couple of hundred miles of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico are associated with the southern portion of an approaching tropical wave. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along this wave to the south of the southern coast of Mexico during the next day or so. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally northwestward near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains across portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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