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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-21 19:44:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

426 ABPZ20 KNHC 211744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 21 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become a little better organized since yesterday. However, the system is already embedded within unfavorable upper-level winds and additional development appears unlikely. The low is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin on late Sunday or early Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the southwest coast of Mexico. Although there are no signs of organization at this time, conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. And yet another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-21 13:27:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

487 ABPZ20 KNHC 211127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jul 21 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure are located a little more than 1700 miles west- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The system is already embedded within unfavorable upper-level winds and development is unlikely. The low is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin on late Sunday or early Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the southwest coast of Mexico. Although this system is not showing any signs of organization at this time, conditions are forecast to become favorable for development and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. And yet another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-21 07:00:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

517 ABPZ20 KNHC 210500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 20 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure are located a little more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The shower activity has become less organized, and the system is heading toward unfavorable upper-level winds. The low is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin late this weekend or early Monday with no significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south of the southwest coast of Mexico. Although this system is not showing any signs of organization at this time, conditions are forecast to become favorable for development and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. And yet another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-21 01:04:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

835 ABPZ20 KNHC 202304 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 20 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure are located a little more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The shower activity has not become any better organized today, and the system is heading toward unfavorable upper-level winds. The low is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin late this weekend or Monday with no significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Although this system is not showing any signs of organization at this time, conditions are forecast to become favorable for development and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. And yet another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-20 19:35:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

240 ABPZ20 KNHC 201735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 20 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a broad low pressure area located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become too strong for development. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin late this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form early next week. This disturbance is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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