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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-17 19:43:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

450 ABNT20 KNHC 171743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Sixteen are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-17 19:21:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171721 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have increased near an area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system has become better organized since last night, and if this trend continues, advisories will likely be issued later today or tonight while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-17 13:32:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171132 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical or subtropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves generally northeastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The low is forecast to approach the northern or northeastern Gulf Coast on Friday or Saturday and regardless of development, the system is likely to produce gusty winds and rough surf over those areas. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and this weekend. Interests along the northern and northeastern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. For more information about marine hazards while the low moves across the Gulf of Mexico, see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4, WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-17 13:24:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Oct 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development and a tropical depression could form the next couple of days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-17 07:02:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 170502 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche have increased and become a little better organized during the past several hours. Recent satellite wind data also indicate that the system is producing winds to near tropical storm force. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical or subtropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves generally northeastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. The low is forecast to approach the northern or northeastern Gulf Coast on Friday or Saturday and regardless of development, the system is likely to produce gusty winds and rough surf over those areas. Heavy rainfall is also possible across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and this weekend. Interests along the northern and northeastern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system. For more information about marine hazards while the low moves across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days, see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4, WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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