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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-17 19:57:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

236 ABPZ20 KNHC 171757 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure was located about 250 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California, producing disorganized clusters of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, although the broad nature of the system and potential interaction with land as it moves northward may hamper development. This system could become a tropical depression on Wednesday or Thursday as it approaches Baja California Sur. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja California Sur and other parts of northwestern Mexico later this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecast Burke/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-17 13:28:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

427 ABPZ20 KNHC 171128 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Sep 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system suggests that any development should be slow to occur. This system will likely become a tropical depression later this week while it moves generally northward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-17 07:36:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

227 ABPZ20 KNHC 170536 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system suggests that any development should be slow to occur. This system will likely become a tropical depression later this week while it moves generally northwestward or northward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A small area of low pressure located about 700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. This system is expected to move slowly west- southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-17 01:25:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

475 ABPZ20 KNHC 162325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system suggests that any development should be slow to occur. This system will likely become a tropical depression later this week while it moves generally northwestward or northward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A small area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. This system is expected to move slowly west- southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Landsea

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-16 19:33:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

625 ABPZ20 KNHC 161733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure is centered a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although environmental conditions appear conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the system suggests that development should be slow to occur. This system will likely become a tropical depression later this week while it moves generally northwestward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A small area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms to the west of the center. Significant development of this system is unlikely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. This system is expected to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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