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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-20 01:19:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

379 ABPZ20 KNHC 192319 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jul 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite wind data indicate that the broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less organized since yesterday. Since the overall environment still appears to be conducive for development, some gradual organization is possible during the next few days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds are forecast to become increasingly favorable for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-19 19:35:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

499 ABPZ20 KNHC 191735 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves quickly westward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles southwest of Mexico is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. A low pressure area is expected to form this weekend from this wave and gradual development is possible early next week while it continues westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-19 13:45:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

923 ABPZ20 KNHC 191145 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jul 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves quickly westward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A low pressure area is expected to form this weekend about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this system is possible early next week while it moves westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-19 07:01:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

278 ABPZ20 KNHC 190501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms centered about 1250 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system continues to show some signs of organization, and further development is possible during the next several days while it moves quickly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend several hundred miles southwest of Mexico. Environmental conditions should support some slow development of this system early next week while it moves westward or west-northwestward well southwest of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-19 01:15:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

639 ABPZ20 KNHC 182315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jul 18 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A tropical wave is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system has become better organized during the past 24 hours, and further development is possible during the next several days while it moves quickly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend several hundred miles southwest of Mexico. Environmental conditions support some slow development of this system early next week while it moves westward or west-northwestward well southwest of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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