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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-14 19:26:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bud, located just south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure centered about 120 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, is becoming better defined, and a tropical depression could be forming. If current trends continue, advisories will be initiated this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is expected to move slowly northwestward near or over the coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. The system is forecast to produce heavy rains, with flash floods and mudslides likely over the southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-14 13:56:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141156 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jun 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bud, located about a hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or so while the low moves slowly northwestward near or over the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain causing flash floods and mudslides is likely over the southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca through the weekend. Potential tropical cyclone advisories could be initiated on this system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-14 07:02:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140502 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bud, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of disturbed weather, however satellite data show that the system does not currently have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for additional development and a tropical depression could form over the next couple of days while the low moves slowly north-northwestward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain causing flash floods and mudslides is possible over the southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca beginning tomorrow and continuing into the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-14 01:24:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132324 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jun 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bud, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to show signs of organization, however satellite data show that the system does not currently have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for additional development and a tropical depression could form over the next couple of days while the low moves slowly north-northwestward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain causing flash floods and mudslides is possible over the southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca beginning tomorrow and continuing into the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-13 19:39:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 13 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bud, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low pressure centered about 375 miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to become better defined. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive, and a tropical depression could form over the next couple of days while the low drifts north-northwestward. By the weekend, interaction with land is expected to limit further organization. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain causing flash floods and mudslides is possible over the southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca beginning tomorrow and continuing into the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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