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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-18 07:35:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180535 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Jun 17 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent satellite-derived winds indicate that the area of low pressure located about a couple hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is becoming better defined. In addition, shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming better organized. A tropical depression is expected to form later this morning while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend, and tropical storm watches and warnings could be needed for a portion of the Mexican coastline later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Blake
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-18 01:36:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172336 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jun 17 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 150 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-17 19:38:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 17 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure, located a little over a hundred miles south of the southeastern coast of Mexico, is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-17 13:45:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171145 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jun 17 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-17 07:44:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170544 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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