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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-13 13:35:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131135 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Sep 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Karina, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Karina are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Karina are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-13 07:41:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130541 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly developed Tropical Depression Sixteen-E, located about 470 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Sixteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-13 01:30:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small area of low pressure is located a little more than 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is producing little shower or thunderstorm activity and further development is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined low located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. If current trends continue, advisories will be initiated on a tropical depression later this evening or overnight. This system is forecast to move generally west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 19:51:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121751 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Additional development of this system is becoming less likely over the next day or so before it interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near the center of the low today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-09-12 13:37:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Sep 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible during the next day or two before it interacts with, and is possibly absorbed by, a larger weather disturbance to its east-southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. This system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms well to the west of the center of the low. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

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