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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-07 07:21:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070520 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Cristina, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristina are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristina are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-07 01:19:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062318 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Five-E, located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is still possible over the next several days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-06 19:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward, well south of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become limited. Development of this system is no longer expected, and it is likely to merge with another disturbance to its southwest within the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-06 13:24:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, have increased in coverage overnight. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next two or three days while the system moves west-northwestward, well south of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive and development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or two while it moves slowly westward. After that time, further development of this system is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-06 07:52:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060552 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 5 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A broad low pressure system located several hundred miles south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward, well south of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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