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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-06 07:00:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity has decreased during the past few hours near an area of low pressure located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. In addition, the circulation of the low appears less defined that it was yesterday, and development of this system is unlikely. This low is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph and merge with another disturbance to its southwest in a day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Shower activity remains disorganized in association with a weak area of low pressure located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Development of this system is not expected while it drifts westward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-06 01:16:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052316 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 1350 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. However, satellite data suggests that the circulation of the disturbance is becoming less defined. This system is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph and merge with another disturbance to its southwest within the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A nearly stationary area of low pressure, located just southwest of the disturbance mentioned above, about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely before it merges with the disturbance located to its northeast late this weekend or early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-05 19:44:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

255 ABPZ20 KNHC 051727 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California has become less defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is not very well organized. This system is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph and merge with another disturbance to its southwest over the next couple of days, and the likelihood of development continues to decrease. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A nearly stationary area of low pressure, located just west of the disturbance mentioned above about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely before it merges with the disturbance located to its northeast late this weekend or early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-05 13:41:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not increased in organization during the past day or so. This system is expected to interact and possibly merge with another disturbance to its southwest over the next couple of days, and the likelihood of development appears to be decreasing. The low is forecast to move northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A nearly stationary area of low pressure, located just west of the disturbance mentioned above about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, which has been decreasing over the past several hours. Development of this system is not likely before it interacts or merges with the larger disturbance located to its northeast late this weekend or early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-05 07:01:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 050500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is located about 1250 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated showers and thunderstorms have been pulsing near the center of the system during the past couple of days, but they have generally been disorganized. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next day or two before it interacts with, and possibly merges with, another disturbance west of it. The low is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A nearly stationary area of low pressure, located just west of the disturbance mentioned above, about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely before it interacts or merges with the larger disturbance located to its east late this weekend or early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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