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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-21 01:17:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 202317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jul 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that a broad and elongated low pressure area has formed in association with the disturbed weather located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two. This disturbance is forecast to move generally northwestward at around 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-20 19:23:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201723 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little in organization today. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days as it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-20 13:30:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jul 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days as it moves west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-20 07:00:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located more than 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become less organized this evening. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive and development of this system is not expected while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-20 01:20:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192320 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located more than 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive, and significant development of this system is not expected while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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