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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-06 13:34:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061134 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jul 6 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara, located about midway between the Baja California peninsula and Hawaii. Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is becoming better defined, and is close to becoming a tropical storm. Advisories will likely be initiated on this system later this morning while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && For more information on disturbance south of the Baja California peninsula see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php or under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02KWBC $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-06 07:50:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060550 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara, located a little more than 1700 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing tropical-storm-force winds. While the associated thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, recent satellite wind data indicates the circulation of the low is becoming better defined. If current trends continue, a tropical storm could form later today or tonight while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && For more information on disturbance south of the Baja California Peninsula see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-06 01:16:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara, located a little more than 1600 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing tropical-storm-force winds. However, the low is not yet well-defined and the associated thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for development, and a tropical storm is likely to form this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && For more information on disturbance south of the Baja California Peninsula see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-05 20:06:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051805 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1105 AM PDT Fri Jul 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara, located nearly 1550 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Updated: Recent satellite data right after the Tropical Weather Outlook was released indicate that the broad area of low pressure several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is already producing tropical storm force winds, but still lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are becoming more conducive for development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is expected to form this weekend as the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph, remaining well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && For more information on this system see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-05 13:30:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

371 ABPZ20 KNHC 051130 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Jul 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Barbara, located nearly 1500 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Satellite images indicate that the shower activity has not become any better organized since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are still conducive for development and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend as the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph, remaining well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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