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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-29 00:19:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 282319 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Wed Nov 28 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated low pressure area centered about 325 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, have become less organized since yesterday, and further development of this system is not likely due to strong upper-level winds. However, shower activity associated with the disturbance is forecast to move toward southwestern Mexico today through Thursday, bringing locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-28 18:39:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 AM PST Wed Nov 28 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system centered about 375 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds have continued to increase, and tropical cyclone formation is becoming less likely. However, shower activity associated with the disturbance is forecast to move northeastward toward southwestern Mexico today through Thursday, bringing locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-28 12:35:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 281134 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 AM PST Wed Nov 28 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A westward-moving low pressure system located about 400 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds have become less conducive for development, and tropical cyclone formation is becoming less likely. However, shower activity associated with the disturbance is still forecast to move northeastward toward southwestern Mexico today through Thursday, bringing locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-28 06:04:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 280503 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1000 PM PST Tue Nov 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure area located about 425 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are not likely to be particularly conducive for development, a tropical depression could still form before environmental conditions become very unfavorable late Thursday. The disturbance is forecast to turn northeastward toward southwestern Mexico on Wednesday and approach the coast on Thursday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain is expected across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco through Thursday. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-28 00:03:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 272302 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Tue Nov 27 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure area located about 450 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined with more consolidated thunderstorm activity since yesterday. Although environmental conditions are only forecast to be marginally conducive, a tropical depression could form during the next day or two. The disturbance is forecast to move northward tonight and turn northeastward toward southwestern Mexico on Wednesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain is possible across portions of southwestern Mexico beginning tomorrow through Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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