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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-02 06:53:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020553 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with well-defined low pressure system centered more than 600 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible, although it could be limited due to the proximity of the larger disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-02 00:27:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 012327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system centered about 700 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday. Shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible, although it could be limited due to the proximity of the larger disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-01 18:47:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure centered about 700 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible, although it could be limited due to the proximity of the disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-01 12:48:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011148 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather has formed about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Development of this system is expected to be slow due to the proximity of the disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-01 06:07:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 31 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week or this weekend while the system moves slowly northwestward to northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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