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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-23 13:35:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231135 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 23 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Marty, located more than 200 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of disturbed weather located just south of the coast of southern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Marty are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Marty are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-23 07:15:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230515 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation has become better defined since early today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development, and if these development trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later tonight or early Monday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system can found in high seas forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with some disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system move west-northwestward or northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-23 01:46:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 222345 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and a few thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions remain conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on Monday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. Additional information on this system can found in high seas forecasts issued by the NOAA National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with some disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico while the system move west-northwestward or northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-22 19:33:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 100 miles west of the coast of west-central Mexico are becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or on Monday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of southern Mexico early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by mid-week. The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-22 13:15:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221115 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 22 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and offshore of the coast of west-central Mexico is associated with the remnants of Grace. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of southern Mexico early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by mid-week. The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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