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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-25 19:32:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

379 ABPZ20 KNHC 251732 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 25 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A disorganized area of disturbed weather associated with an elongated low pressure system is located nearly 1000 miles south- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Conditions are expected to become more favorable for gradual development during the next few days while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A small area of low pressure accompanied by limited shower activity is located around 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slight development is possible today or tonight, but after that time environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation as the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-25 13:24:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

990 ABPZ20 KNHC 251124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jul 25 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A disorganized area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is moving westward, and is now located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Conditions are expected to become favorable for gradual development during the next few days while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A small area of low pressure accompanied by limited shower activity is located around 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development is possible today or tomorrow. Afterward, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation as the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-25 07:00:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

616 ABPZ20 KNHC 250500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure is producing shower and thunderstorm activity several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Little development is expected tonight or tomorrow, but conditions could become a little more favorable for tropical cyclone formation later this week while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another area of low pressure is located around 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the associated shower activity is currently disorganized, some gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves generally westward. By the weekend, strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-25 01:46:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

808 ABPZ20 KNHC 242346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. No significant development is expected during the next day or two, but conditions could become a little more favorable for tropical cyclone formation by this weekend while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another area of low pressure has developed a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Recent satellite data indicate that this system has developed a closed, but poorly defined surface circulation, and the associated shower activity is currently disorganized. However, some gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days while the system moves generally westward. By the weekend, strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-24 19:22:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

551 ABPZ20 KNHC 241722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized shower activity. No significant development is expected during the next day or two, but conditions could become a little more favorable for tropical cyclone formation by this weekend while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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