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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-06-23 19:53:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231753 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 23 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Upper-level winds are becoming more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or on Sunday while the low moves northward to north-northwestward at about 10 mph. Development is not expected by Monday once the low reaches colder waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some development of this system is possible during the next several days before it interacts and possibly merges with a tropical wave approaching from the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave moving across Central America into the eastern Pacific is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system by the middle of next week while it moves westward south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-06-23 13:42:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231142 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jun 23 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Conditions may become more conducive for development when a second weather system approaches this disturbance from the east over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized near an area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, but satellite wind data indicate that the low's circulation remains somewhat elongated. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development while the system moves northward over the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form before the system reaches colder waters on Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-06-23 07:00:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 22 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Although the area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico appears less organized tonight, the environment is forecast to become more conducive for development over the next day or so. A tropical depression is still likely to form early next week while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. The elongated area of low pressure located a little more than 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. There has been no increase in organization, but environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the disturbance moves slowly toward the north or north-northeast over the open eastern North Pacific. The system is expected to reach cooler waters early next week, which will limit the potential for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-06-23 01:02:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 222302 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jun 22 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. This is disturbance is disorganized, but the environment is forecast to become more conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the disturbance moves westward to west- northwestward at 5 to 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another elongated area of low pressure located a little more than 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity. There has been no significant change in organization during the past several hours. However, environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the disturbance moves toward the north or north-northeast at about 5 mph over the open eastern North Pacific. The system is expected to reach cooler waters early next week, which will limit the potential for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-06-22 19:42:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 22 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are increasing near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A second broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity, which has increased slightly in organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the disturbance moves toward the north or north-northeast at about 5 mph over the open eastern North Pacific. The system is expected to reach cooler waters early next week, which will limit the potential for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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