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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-06 07:17:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Two-E located several hundred miles south- southwest of Manzanillo Mexico. A tropical wave in the far eastern Pacific Ocean is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward off the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-06 01:30:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jun 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate that the circulation associated with a low pressure system located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to become better defined, and it appears that a tropical depression is forming. Continued development is expected, and advisories could be initiated on this system as early as this evening or early Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. A tropical wave moving westward across Central America into the far eastern Pacific Ocean is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward off the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-05 19:21:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051721 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, are becoming better organized. In addition, satellite images indicate that the circulation of the system is now better defined. Continued development of this system is expected, and it will likely become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form late this week a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-05 13:37:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 5 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated overnight near an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure could form by Friday a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Upper-level winds are forecast gradually become more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-06-05 07:00:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 050500 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jun 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad and elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for the development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure could form by the weekend a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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