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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-12 01:19:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112318 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large low pressure area centered about 260 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. The surface circulation is gradually becoming better defined, and this system could become a tropical depression or tropical storm at any time during the next day or so. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers centered a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a surface trough. Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly conducive for development, and a tropical cyclone is likely to form early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 19:20:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111719 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 170 miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. If this development trend continues, advisories will be initiated this afternoon or tonight. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well west of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the coast of southern Mexico during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some slow development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 13:40:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is located about 160 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system continue to become better organized, and a tropical depression could be forming. Any additional increase in organization would result in the issuance of advisories today or tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the coast of southern Mexico by early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some slow development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 07:13:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110513 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 10 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images indicate strong thunderstorms are occurring just offshore of the west coast of Mexico in association with a surface trough and the remnants of Franklin. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical cyclone on Friday or Saturday before it moves over colder waters on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the coast of southern Mexico by early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some slow development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 01:33:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 102333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Aug 10 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is expected to form just off the west-central coast of Mexico on Friday in association with the remnants of Franklin. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and this low could become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days before it moves over colder waters on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the coast of southern Mexico by early next week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some slow development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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