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Tropical Storm CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2015-06-14 16:49:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 141449 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 6(14) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CULIACAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) 5(26) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 20(25) 11(36) 3(39) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 30(38) 7(45) 2(47) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) 1(16) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 8(11) 16(27) 28(55) 4(59) X(59) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 16(20) 1(21) 1(22) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) 12(15) 18(33) 24(57) 4(61) X(61) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 14(20) 1(21) X(21) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) L CARDENAS 34 4 42(46) 21(67) 6(73) 4(77) X(77) X(77) L CARDENAS 50 X 9( 9) 17(26) 4(30) 2(32) 1(33) X(33) L CARDENAS 64 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 34 21 39(60) 10(70) 2(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) ZIHUATANEJO 50 1 14(15) 6(21) 1(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ACAPULCO 34 32 5(37) 3(40) 1(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) ACAPULCO 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 19(22) 13(35) 4(39) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 2(16) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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carlos
Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2015-06-14 04:45:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 140245 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 0300 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 1(17) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 19(22) 12(34) 1(35) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 29(36) 8(44) 1(45) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) X(15) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 15(23) 31(54) 6(60) X(60) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 3(26) X(26) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) MANZANILLO 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 18(30) 28(58) 4(62) 1(63) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 2(25) X(25) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) L CARDENAS 34 2 34(36) 31(67) 8(75) 5(80) X(80) X(80) L CARDENAS 50 X 4( 4) 22(26) 9(35) 4(39) X(39) X(39) L CARDENAS 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) ZIHUATANEJO 34 5 51(56) 16(72) 4(76) 3(79) X(79) X(79) ZIHUATANEJO 50 1 12(13) 15(28) 3(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) ACAPULCO 34 51 13(64) 2(66) 1(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69) ACAPULCO 50 6 6(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ACAPULCO 64 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 7 4(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 13(34) 1(35) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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carlos
Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2015-06-13 16:54:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 131454 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 1(15) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 5(21) 1(22) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 22(34) 4(38) X(38) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 9(15) 22(37) 3(40) X(40) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) L CARDENAS 34 2 9(11) 28(39) 15(54) 6(60) X(60) X(60) L CARDENAS 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 21(23) 24(47) 6(53) 4(57) X(57) X(57) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 9 22(31) 7(38) 2(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) ACAPULCO 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P MALDONADO 34 4 5( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) P ANGEL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATULCO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 2(18) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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carlos
Tropical Storm CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2015-06-13 10:34:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 130834 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 0900 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 2(14) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 9(21) 1(22) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 20(28) 6(34) 1(35) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 21(30) 4(34) 1(35) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 1 3( 4) 17(21) 17(38) 8(46) X(46) 1(47) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) X(12) 1(13) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 6( 8) 19(27) 10(37) 5(42) 1(43) X(43) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ACAPULCO 34 4 13(17) 7(24) 3(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 3 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) P ANGEL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATULCO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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carlos
Tropical Storm CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2015-06-13 04:34:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 130234 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 0300 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 8(18) 2(20) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 19(25) 8(33) 1(34) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 19(27) 6(33) 1(34) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 1 3( 4) 13(17) 18(35) 12(47) 1(48) X(48) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 6( 7) 17(24) 14(38) 7(45) X(45) X(45) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ACAPULCO 34 5 15(20) 10(30) 4(34) 3(37) X(37) X(37) ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P MALDONADO 34 5 6(11) 3(14) 2(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) P ANGEL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATULCO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 3(17) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tags: number
speed
wind
carlos
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