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Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2015-06-16 22:40:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 162039 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 2100 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) P VALLARTA 34 1 9(10) 15(25) 4(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) P VALLARTA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 15 35(50) 4(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 1 12(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 12 20(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MANZANILLO 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 12(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm BILL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2015-06-16 16:56:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FONT12 KNHC 161456 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PORT ARTHUR TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOUSTON TX 34 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) AUSTIN TX 34 5 10(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PORT O CONNOR 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24

2015-06-16 16:40:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 161439 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) P VALLARTA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 5(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 5 22(27) 5(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MANZANILLO 34 5 10(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) MANZANILLO 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm BILL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

2015-06-16 10:46:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FONT12 KNHC 160846 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022015 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 930W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GALVESTON TX 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) HOUSTON TX 34 35 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) AUSTIN TX 34 6 13(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FREEPORT TX 34 78 X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PORT O CONNOR 34 56 7(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) PORT O CONNOR 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Hurricane CARLOS Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23

2015-06-16 10:45:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 160845 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CARLOS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) P VALLARTA 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 28(30) 8(38) 1(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 3 18(21) 5(26) 1(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) MANZANILLO 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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