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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2014-10-15 04:54:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 150254 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 38(41) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 29(54) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 15(48) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 9(20) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 9(32) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 6(24) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 1(22) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 2(27) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 1(45) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 1(20) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 83(89) 1(90) X(90) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 60(60) X(60) X(60) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) X(37) X(37) GRAND TURK 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10

2014-10-14 22:35:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 142035 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 19(30) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 71(72) 12(84) X(84) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 14(51) X(51) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 9(28) X(28) MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2014-10-14 16:54:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 141453 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 39(81) X(81) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 38(49) X(49) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) X(25) MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2014-10-14 10:55:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 140854 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 62(76) 1(77) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) 1(43) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 1(21) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2014-10-14 04:37:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 140236 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 49(51) 19(70) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 15(36) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PONCE 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JUAN 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT THOMAS 34 15 2(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SAINT CROIX 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT MAARTEN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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