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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2014-10-17 10:31:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 170831 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 68(71) X(71) X(71) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) X(30) X(30) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 28(28) 17(45) X(45) X(45) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BERMUDA 34 92 8(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 34 66(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 64 7 88(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2014-10-16 22:30:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 162030 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 70(70) X(70) X(70) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 1(28) X(28) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 58(58) X(58) X(58) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) BERMUDA 34 3 74(77) 23(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 X 24(24) 69(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) BERMUDA 64 X 5( 5) 71(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2014-10-16 16:48:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 161448 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 40(40) 19(59) X(59) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 9(20) X(20) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) X(41) X(41) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) BERMUDA 34 X 20(20) 78(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 50 X 2( 2) 86(88) 4(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 68(68) 6(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane GONZALO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

2014-10-16 10:31:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 160831 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 43(53) X(53) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 9(51) X(51) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) X(19) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 1(23) X(23) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X 5( 5) 88(93) 5(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 62(62) 23(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 34(34) 25(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Impact of offshore wind farms on marine species

2014-10-16 07:00:00| Climate Ark Climate Change & Global Warming Newsfeed

ScienceDaily: Offshore wind power is a valuable source of renewable energy that can help reduce carbon emissions. Technological advances are allowing higher capacity turbines to be installed in deeper water, but there is still much unknown about the effects on the environment. In a recent paper, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science researcher Helen Bailey and colleagues review the potential impacts of offshore wind developments on marine species and make recommendations for future monitoring...

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