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Tropical Storm Wilfred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2020-09-19 16:50:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 191449 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM WILFRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020 1500 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILFRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tropical Storm Beta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2020-09-19 10:53:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 190853 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 4( 6) STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) BURAS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 4( 9) GFMX 280N 890W 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) 4(19) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) GFMX 280N 910W 34 55 6(61) 3(64) 2(66) 1(67) 1(68) 2(70) GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 6(15) MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 3(13) 4(17) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 5(13) LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 6(21) NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 6(21) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 65 20(85) 5(90) 1(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93) GFMX 280N 930W 50 11 27(38) 8(46) 2(48) X(48) 2(50) 1(51) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 4(14) 4(18) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 6(22) 5(27) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) CAMERON LA 34 5 14(19) 13(32) 7(39) 5(44) 5(49) 5(54) CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) JASPER TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 4(21) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 6(24) 4(28) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 7(21) 6(27) 4(31) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 3 18(21) 21(42) 15(57) 6(63) 3(66) 2(68) GALVESTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 6(19) 3(22) 3(25) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 10(19) 13(32) 5(37) 3(40) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 4(18) 2(20) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 6(20) 1(21) FREEPORT TX 34 X 4( 4) 17(21) 20(41) 11(52) 3(55) 2(57) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 3(18) 1(19) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 7 35(42) 30(72) 11(83) 4(87) 1(88) X(88) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 9( 9) 26(35) 17(52) 4(56) 1(57) 1(58) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 5(24) X(24) 1(25) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 9(32) 6(38) 3(41) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MATAGORDA TX 34 2 14(16) 24(40) 21(61) 8(69) 3(72) 1(73) MATAGORDA TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 12(35) 3(38) 2(40) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13) PORT O CONNOR 34 2 11(13) 22(35) 24(59) 11(70) 3(73) 1(74) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 14(37) 3(40) 2(42) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 1(15) 1(16) ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 18(28) 19(47) 7(54) 2(56) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 3(20) X(20) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 19(39) 8(47) 2(49) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 1(16) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 17(19) 30(49) 16(65) 10(75) 5(80) 1(81) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 13(15) 16(31) 9(40) 4(44) 1(45) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19) MCALLEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 8(23) X(23) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 11(19) 9(28) X(28) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 9(27) X(27) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 8(23) 10(33) 6(39) 1(40) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) KEESLER AB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 5(10) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Hurricane Teddy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
2020-09-19 10:49:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT15 KNHC 190849 PWSAT5 HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 28(47) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 31(54) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 27(54) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) 10(49) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 41(43) 18(61) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 9(24) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 46(60) 6(66) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 5(32) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 3(49) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 1(22) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 1(23) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 3(22) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 1(16) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 20(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Tropical Storm Wilfred Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2020-09-19 10:31:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 190831 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM WILFRED WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILFRED WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Beta Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2020-09-19 04:58:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 000 FONT12 KNHC 190258 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020 0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) STENNIS MS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) BURAS LA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 9 6(15) 3(18) 2(20) 1(21) 1(22) 3(25) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 4(12) GFMX 280N 910W 34 49 15(64) 4(68) 2(70) 2(72) X(72) 2(74) GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 2(10) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 5(15) MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 4(18) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 4(13) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 4(12) 2(14) 6(20) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 5(20) GFMX 280N 930W 34 35 40(75) 11(86) 2(88) 2(90) X(90) 1(91) GFMX 280N 930W 50 2 30(32) 13(45) 3(48) 1(49) 2(51) 1(52) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) 2(13) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 5(17) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 6(16) 4(20) 6(26) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) CAMERON LA 34 3 15(18) 12(30) 7(37) 7(44) 4(48) 6(54) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 4(11) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 4(20) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) 9(18) 5(23) 4(27) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 8(20) 6(26) 5(31) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 1 15(16) 16(32) 15(47) 12(59) 4(63) 3(66) GALVESTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 8(15) 4(19) 3(22) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) HOUSTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 15(27) 7(34) 4(38) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 6(18) 3(21) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 7(19) 2(21) FREEPORT TX 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 14(26) 17(43) 5(48) 4(52) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 1(16) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 25(28) 29(57) 17(74) 8(82) 2(84) 1(85) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 3( 3) 16(19) 19(38) 11(49) 2(51) 1(52) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 7(20) 1(21) 1(22) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 8(17) 11(28) 6(34) 4(38) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MATAGORDA TX 34 1 9(10) 20(30) 19(49) 16(65) 5(70) 2(72) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 17(28) 4(32) 2(34) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12) PORT O CONNOR 34 1 7( 8) 19(27) 19(46) 19(65) 5(70) 2(72) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 18(30) 5(35) 2(37) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) 1(13) ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 12(19) 23(42) 10(52) 2(54) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 5(19) 1(20) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 19(33) 11(44) 2(46) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 5(16) 1(17) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 10(11) 27(38) 22(60) 14(74) 6(80) X(80) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) 14(40) 5(45) 2(47) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 3(20) 1(21) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 8(13) 9(22) 2(24) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 11(18) 10(28) 2(30) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 10(18) 10(28) 1(29) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 4( 5) 11(16) 9(25) 12(37) 9(46) 1(47) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) KEESLER AB 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 3(10) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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