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Hurricane Willa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2018-10-22 10:38:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 220838 PWSEP4 HURRICANE WILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP242018 0900 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 135 KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LA PAZ 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 64(66) 32(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 12(12) 71(83) 3(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 2( 2) 60(62) 6(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) MAZATLAN 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 44(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SAN BLAS 34 X 4( 4) 52(56) 16(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 14(14) 14(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) P VALLARTA 34 1 11(12) 18(30) 7(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) P VALLARTA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MANZANILLO 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 110W 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2018-10-22 10:35:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220835 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 0900 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 100W 34 18 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2018-10-22 04:34:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 220234 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 0300 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 100W 34 9 11(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Hurricane Willa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2018-10-22 04:32:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 220232 PWSEP4 HURRICANE WILLA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP242018 0300 UTC MON OCT 22 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16) X(16) X(16) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 19(20) 58(78) 17(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 2( 2) 31(33) 41(74) 4(78) X(78) X(78) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 41(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 41(45) 30(75) X(75) X(75) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 22(36) X(36) X(36) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 45(57) 17(74) X(74) X(74) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 16(38) X(38) X(38) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) P VALLARTA 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 18(35) 6(41) X(41) X(41) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) MANZANILLO 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 20N 110W 34 1 5( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm Vicente Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10

2018-10-21 22:35:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN OCT 21 2018 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 212035 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP232018 2100 UTC SUN OCT 21 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VICENTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 100W 34 2 24(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) $$ FORECASTER PASCH

Tags: number speed wind storm

 

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