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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2018-08-04 10:43:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 04 2018 714 FOPZ15 KNHC 040843 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 0900 UTC SAT AUG 04 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 2 94(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 15N 135W 50 X 65(65) 4(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) 15N 135W 64 X 32(32) 6(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 15N 140W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 79(92) 3(95) X(95) X(95) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 64(66) 10(76) X(76) X(76) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 40(40) 13(53) X(53) X(53) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 70(71) 3(74) X(74) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 3(42) X(42) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 2(23) X(23) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 50(53) 3(56) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 1(23) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 1(17) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 21(64) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 16(32) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 32(39) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BRADSHAW AAF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 47(52) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2018-08-04 04:34:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 04 2018 ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 0300 UTC SAT AUG 04 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 1 72(73) 16(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 135W 50 X 19(19) 27(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 15N 135W 64 X 4( 4) 15(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 66(69) 24(93) X(93) X(93) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 46(72) X(72) X(72) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 40(50) X(50) X(50) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 65(65) 14(79) X(79) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 17(48) X(48) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 14(29) X(29) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) 5(52) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 4(23) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 33(61) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 23(32) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 36(40) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN

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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13

2018-08-03 22:45:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 917 FOPZ15 KNHC 032045 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 2100 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) 10N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 135W 34 X 14(14) 69(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 135W 50 X 1( 1) 38(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 71(90) X(90) X(90) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 62(65) 1(66) X(66) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) X(45) X(45) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 46(76) X(76) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 37(43) X(43) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) X(26) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 22(51) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 47(55) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2018-08-03 16:46:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 176 FOPZ15 KNHC 031445 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 1500 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 75 2(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 15N 130W 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 10N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 135W 34 X 2( 2) 66(68) 16(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 20(20) 24(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 81(87) 1(88) X(88) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 61(61) 2(63) X(63) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 2(40) X(40) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 58(65) 2(67) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 1(34) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 42(44) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

 

Hurricane Hector Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2018-08-03 10:51:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 843 FOPZ15 KNHC 030850 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 0900 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 28 39(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 15N 130W 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 130W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 39(40) 39(79) 3(82) X(82) X(82) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 73(76) 8(84) X(84) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 11(55) 1(56) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 9(36) X(36) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 64(66) 6(72) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 6(44) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 6(27) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 40(45) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

Tags: number speed wind hurricane

 

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