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Hurricane Chris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

2018-07-11 22:47:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 150 FONT13 KNHC 112047 PWSAT3 HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 2100 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 47(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X 4( 4) 72(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 23(23) 11(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PTX BASQUES 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 4 47(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) SABLE ISLAND 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Hurricane Chris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2018-07-11 17:01:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 228 FONT13 KNHC 111501 PWSAT3 HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 1500 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) 12(12) 52(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 92(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) 58(58) 6(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 2( 2) 59(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 63(63) 11(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) SABLE ISLAND 50 X 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SABLE ISLAND 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Hurricane Chris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2018-07-11 10:39:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 949 FONT13 KNHC 110839 PWSAT3 HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 0900 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 45(45) 5(50) X(50) X(50) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 85(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 48(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 45(45) 28(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 6( 6) 82(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 42(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HALIFAX NS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Hurricane Chris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2018-07-11 04:43:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 621 FONT13 KNHC 110243 PWSAT3 HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 0300 UTC WED JUL 11 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 54(69) X(69) X(69) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) X(25) X(25) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 63(63) 7(70) X(70) X(70) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 26(26) 4(30) X(30) X(30) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 46(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 67(67) 6(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 28(28) 9(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Hurricane Chris Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2018-07-10 22:53:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 10 2018 715 FONT13 KNHC 102053 PWSAT3 HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032018 2100 UTC TUE JUL 10 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 63(63) X(63) X(63) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 57(60) X(60) X(60) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) X(17) X(17) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 23(23) 21(44) X(44) X(44) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 60(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 30(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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