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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 35
2017-09-07 22:58:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 072058 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 150 KTS...175 MPH...280 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GREENSBORO NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 13(32) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 21(44) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 8(27) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 8(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 15(48) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 20(57) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 14(26) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 10(38) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 11(43) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 11(52) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 8(22) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 11(62) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 10(33) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 60(61) 11(72) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 11(41) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 7(24) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 16(35) ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 19(65) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15(32) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 65(66) 11(77) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 10(47) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 8(29) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 72(78) 5(83) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 49(49) 7(56) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 4(32) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 67(69) 7(76) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 8(45) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 72(80) 4(84) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 5(57) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 4(33) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 73(80) 3(83) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 51(51) 5(56) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 3(31) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 62(75) 2(77) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 43(45) 2(47) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 1(25) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 59(86) 2(88) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 56(61) 1(62) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 1(41) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 56(81) 1(82) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 48(53) 1(54) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) X(31) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 42(44) 44(88) 1(89) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 51(63) 1(64) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 38(42) X(42) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 38(90) 1(91) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 46(64) 1(65) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) 1(45) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 38(90) 1(91) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 46(64) 1(65) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) 1(45) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 60(68) 23(91) X(91) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 30(64) X(64) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 27(44) 1(45) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 67(83) 10(93) X(93) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 17(67) X(67) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 17(48) X(48) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 58(89) 6(95) X(95) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 59(63) 9(72) X(72) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 40(41) 10(51) X(51) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 32(39) 53(92) 3(95) X(95) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 64(70) 7(77) X(77) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 45(46) 7(53) X(53) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 38(47) 47(94) 2(96) X(96) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 64(74) 5(79) X(79) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 47(49) 6(55) X(55) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 42(49) 39(88) 2(90) X(90) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 49(62) 1(63) X(63) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 39(43) 2(45) X(45) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 40(71) 2(73) X(73) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 33(40) 2(42) X(42) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 1(23) X(23) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 61(74) 7(81) X(81) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) 10(52) X(52) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 10(34) X(34) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 58(67) 13(80) X(80) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 17(50) X(50) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 17(34) X(34) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 45(49) 18(67) X(67) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 19(37) X(37) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) X(24) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 34(70) X(70) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 29(38) X(38) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) X(25) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 44(58) 2(60) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) X(32) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 4(37) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 3(38) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 2(25) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 1(23) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 2(20) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 8(29) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) COLUMBUS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 48(69) 8(77) 1(78) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 7(41) X(41) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23) X(23) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 8( 8) 38(46) 16(62) 11(73) 2(75) X(75) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) ANDROS 34 1 25(26) 57(83) 7(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) ANDROS 50 X 2( 2) 37(39) 15(54) 3(57) X(57) X(57) ANDROS 64 X X( X) 12(12) 12(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) GREAT EXUMA 34 4 85(89) 7(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GREAT EXUMA 50 X 38(38) 22(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) GREAT EXUMA 64 X 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAN SALVADOR 34 14 51(65) 3(68) 2(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) SAN SALVADOR 50 1 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYAGUANA 50 89 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MAYAGUANA 64 43 9(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 18(34) 1(35) X(35) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 34(49) 11(60) 1(61) X(61) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 7(21) X(21) X(21) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CAMAGUEY 34 2 14(16) 53(69) 6(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) CAMAGUEY 50 X 2( 2) 24(26) 7(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 17(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) KINGSTON 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LES CAYES 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PUERTO PLATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Hurricane Katia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2017-09-07 22:33:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 072033 PWSAT3 HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PESCA MX 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPICO MX 34 2 3( 5) 13(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) TAMPICO MX 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TUXPAN MX 34 2 18(20) 52(72) 5(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) TUXPAN MX 50 X 2( 2) 22(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) VERACRUZ MX 34 2 12(14) 30(44) 4(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) VERACRUZ MX 50 X 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FRONTERA MX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34
2017-09-07 16:51:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 071451 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 150 KTS...175 MPH...280 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 31(40) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 35(41) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 19(27) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 18(26) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 22(35) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 25(39) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 26(43) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 35(52) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 39(54) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 30(50) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 31(53) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 34(59) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 34(65) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 26(38) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 33(66) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 24(37) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 33(48) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 31(65) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 20(34) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 43(45) 18(63) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 12(29) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 19(49) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 48(50) 15(65) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 11(32) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 44(46) 14(60) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 11(26) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 36(40) 8(48) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 54(65) 7(72) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 5(36) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 40(50) 5(55) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 3(21) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 48(69) 3(72) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 3(36) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 49(80) 2(82) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 42(47) 1(48) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 1(28) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 48(79) 3(82) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 2(48) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 1(28) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 45(49) 37(86) 1(87) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 40(55) 1(56) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) 1(36) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 60(69) 21(90) X(90) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 31(64) 1(65) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 27(43) 1(44) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 66(81) 11(92) X(92) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 47(48) 21(69) 1(70) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 19(46) 1(47) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 64(83) 9(92) X(92) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 51(53) 17(70) 1(71) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 17(47) X(47) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 60(84) 7(91) X(91) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 54(57) 12(69) 1(70) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 12(47) X(47) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 52(74) 4(78) X(78) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 42(45) 4(49) X(49) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 4(30) X(30) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 42(55) 6(61) X(61) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 4(29) X(29) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 46(52) 14(66) 1(67) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 14(32) X(32) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) X(19) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 41(45) 20(65) 1(66) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 17(29) X(29) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) X(16) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 20(46) X(46) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) X(17) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 27(42) 3(45) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 5(34) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 9(21) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 53(68) 16(84) X(84) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 19(52) 1(53) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 16(33) X(33) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 30(61) 19(80) 3(83) X(83) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 22(36) 2(38) X(38) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 1(18) X(18) ANDROS 34 X 5( 5) 59(64) 25(89) 5(94) 1(95) X(95) ANDROS 50 X X( X) 14(14) 42(56) 11(67) X(67) X(67) ANDROS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 10(36) X(36) X(36) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 46(48) 46(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GREAT EXUMA 50 X 4( 4) 58(62) 3(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) 26(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 47(50) 17(67) 2(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) SAN SALVADOR 50 X 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MAYAGUANA 34 75 24(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYAGUANA 50 4 84(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) MAYAGUANA 64 1 41(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) GRAND TURK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND TURK 64 79 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 18(24) 2(26) X(26) HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HAVANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 26(32) 18(50) 1(51) X(51) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X 5( 5) 40(45) 23(68) 4(72) 1(73) X(73) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) 11(11) 18(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 2 16(18) 10(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTEGO BAY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) KINGSTON 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LES CAYES 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE BEATA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) PUERTO PLATA 50 39 X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) PUERTO PLATA 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2017-09-07 16:49:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 071449 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) 1(16) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) 1(15) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 5(25) X(25) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 4(28) X(28) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 32(36) 4(40) X(40) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 2(16) X(16) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 2(28) X(28) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 49(64) 1(65) X(65) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 34(37) X(37) X(37) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) X(20) X(20) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 28(52) 1(53) X(53) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) X(23) X(23) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 48(53) 25(78) 1(79) X(79) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 31(53) X(53) X(53) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 24(32) X(32) X(32) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 44(49) 17(66) X(66) X(66) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 20(38) X(38) X(38) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) X(19) X(19) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) 8(46) X(46) X(46) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AVES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARBADOS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Hurricane Katia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2017-09-07 16:32:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 071432 PWSAT3 HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132017 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LA PESCA MX 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) TAMPICO MX 34 2 3( 5) 19(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) TAMPICO MX 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TUXPAN MX 34 2 13(15) 59(74) 10(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) TUXPAN MX 50 X 2( 2) 28(30) 13(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) TUXPAN MX 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) VERACRUZ MX 34 2 6( 8) 22(30) 5(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) VERACRUZ MX 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FRONTERA MX 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Tags: number
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hurricane
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