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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2017-09-03 16:51:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 031451 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 43(46) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 46(58) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 24(36) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 12(25) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 3(38) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 5(42) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 43(48) 2(50) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 2(29) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 41(49) 2(51) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 1(28) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 47(61) 2(63) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 2(37) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 1(24) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 33(47) 1(48) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 1(26) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 50(50) 26(76) X(76) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 30(50) X(50) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) X(31) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 48(48) 13(61) X(61) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 14(37) X(37) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) X(24) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 67(68) 8(76) X(76) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 10(51) X(51) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 8(33) X(33) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 57(58) 7(65) X(65) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 6(39) X(39) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 5(26) 1(27) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 40(42) 4(46) X(46) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 2(23) X(23) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22) X(22) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Lidia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19

2017-09-03 10:43:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 030843 PWSEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 0900 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2017-09-03 04:31:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 030231 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0300 UTC SUN SEP 03 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 31(32) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 10(28) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 14(30) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 11(37) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 8(38) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 38(39) 7(46) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 6(25) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 5(35) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 2(16) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 48(55) 3(58) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 2(35) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 2(22) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 35(45) 1(46) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) X(24) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 40(63) X(63) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 30(36) X(36) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) X(23) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 31(50) X(50) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) X(27) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 16(34) X(34) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) X(16) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) X(18) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm Lidia Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2017-09-02 22:42:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 022042 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT S CATALINA IS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN DIEGO CA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TIJUANA 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ENSENADA 34 1 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) IS GUADALUPE 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 19 X(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 30N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA

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Hurricane Irma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2017-09-02 22:38:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017 000 FONT11 KNHC 022038 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 02 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS ...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 18(28) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15(29) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 16(36) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 11(28) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 38(39) 8(47) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 6(26) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 30(31) 4(35) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 3(49) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 3(28) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 2(17) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) 3(40) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 1(19) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 2(26) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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