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Tropical Storm Irwin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

2017-07-27 22:38:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 272038 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 50 4 21(25) 10(35) 11(46) 4(50) X(50) X(50) 15N 125W 64 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 6(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 23(25) X(25) X(25) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Hurricane HILARY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26

2017-07-27 22:36:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 272036 PWSEP4 HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 2100 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 120W 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 120W 34 3 60(63) 24(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 20N 120W 50 X 10(10) 34(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 20N 120W 64 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 23(54) X(54) X(54) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Irwin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21

2017-07-27 16:35:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 271435 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 1500 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 10N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 125W 34 93 3(96) 2(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) 15N 125W 50 38 14(52) 9(61) X(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) 15N 125W 64 2 5( 7) 7(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 125W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 23(26) 9(35) X(35) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Tropical Storm Irwin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2017-07-27 10:54:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 270854 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 0900 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 10N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 125W 34 66 14(80) 10(90) 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 15N 125W 50 4 15(19) 13(32) 10(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) 15N 125W 64 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 22(35) 1(36) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS

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Hurricane Hilary Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24

2017-07-27 10:51:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 270851 PWSEP4 HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 0900 UTC THU JUL 27 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 15N 115W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 115W 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 120W 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 120W 34 1 7( 8) 62(70) 14(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) 20N 120W 50 X 1( 1) 23(24) 20(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 48(56) 3(59) X(59) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 2(22) X(22) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 1(20) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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