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Hurricane SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2016-10-25 04:35:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 25 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 250235 PWSEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 0300 UTC TUE OCT 25 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 115W 34 33 19(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 15N 115W 50 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 115W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 115W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 23(31) 12(43) 1(44) X(44) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 1(24) X(24) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2016-10-24 22:40:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 242039 PWSEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 2100 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA CLARION 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 115W 34 3 70(73) 1(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 15N 115W 50 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 15N 115W 64 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 12(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 27(48) 1(49) X(49) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 3(23) X(23) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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Hurricane SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2016-10-24 16:32:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 241432 PWSEP5 HURRICANE SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 1500 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 15N 110W 50 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 15N 110W 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X 8( 8) 10(18) 2(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) ISLA CLARION 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 X 27(27) 16(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 15N 115W 50 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 15N 115W 64 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 49(63) 1(64) X(64) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) X(29) X(29) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 1(16) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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Tropical Storm SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2016-10-24 10:53:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 240853 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 0900 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 94 X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 15N 110W 50 51 2(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 15N 110W 64 23 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 4(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 115W 34 X 9( 9) 43(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 15N 115W 50 X 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 10(21) 1(22) X(22) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 54(61) 5(66) X(66) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 4(33) X(33) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 2(16) X(16) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) 1(17) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm SEYMOUR Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2016-10-24 04:40:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 240240 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202016 0300 UTC MON OCT 24 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 41 52(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 15N 110W 50 5 65(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 15N 110W 64 1 28(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 20N 110W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 13(35) 4(39) X(39) X(39) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 115W 34 X 3( 3) 46(49) 12(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 10(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 1(16) 1(17) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 1(22) X(22) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 47(50) 16(66) 1(67) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 12(32) X(32) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) X(17) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) 25N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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