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Tropical Storm ESTELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2016-07-20 16:35:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 201435 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm DARBY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36
2016-07-20 16:33:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 201433 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 145W 34 1 37(38) 25(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 20N 145W 50 X 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) 19(40) 1(41) X(41) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 26(36) 3(39) X(39) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 7(27) X(27) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 15(28) 3(31) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 4(24) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 4(19) BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 2(15) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) 21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
Tropical Storm ESTELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2016-07-20 10:39:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 200838 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 0900 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Tropical Storm ESTELLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2016-07-20 04:49:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 200249 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016 0300 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tropical Storm DARBY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 34
2016-07-20 04:31:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 200231 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052016 0300 UTC WED JUL 20 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 38(41) 19(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 5(36) 1(37) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 11(34) 2(36) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 2(19) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) 20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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