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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-11 15:45:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111345 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 945 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Outlook issued to update the system in the eastern Tropical Atlantic west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands (AL93). Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Francine, located over the western Gulf of Mexico a couple hundred miles off the coast of Louisiana. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL93): Updated: Recent satellite-wind data indicates that the system located a few hundred miles to the west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has developed a well-defined circulation. In addition, showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization, and if these trends continue, advisories will be issued on a tropical depression later this morning. The system is moving to the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph and will be moving into the central Tropical Atlantic by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or two while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level winds on Thursday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week as the system meanders over the Gulf Stream or drifts slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Blake
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-11 13:44:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A broad low pressure system continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms near the coast of southwestern Mexico extending offshore for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the week while it moves generally north-northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico and towards the Baja California Peninsula. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Francine (AT1/AL062024)
2024-09-11 13:43:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING FRANCINE... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN LOUISIANA LATER TODAY... As of 7:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 the center of Francine was located near 27.5, -93.3 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics