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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-03 18:46:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 031746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Sun Nov 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean just east of the Azores Islands. Western Caribbean Sea (AL97): Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure system over the south-central Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to become a tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves generally northward toward Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba. Interests in those locations should monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings could be required later today or tonight. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible across Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba during the next few days. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Near the Southeastern Bahamas: A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the southeastern Bahamas and adjacent waters. Slow development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves westward toward Cuba and the Bahamas. This system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late Monday, ending its chances of development. Regardless of formation, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days across the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Southwestern Atlantic: An area of disturbed weather is expected to develop near the northern Leeward Islands around the middle of the week. Some slow development of this system is possible after that time as it moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Lane Graphics
2024-11-03 15:51:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 14:51:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 15:28:34 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Post-Tropical Cyclone Lane Forecast Discussion Number 8
2024-11-03 15:49:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 031449 TCDEP3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Lane Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132024 700 AM PST Sun Nov 03 2024 Lane has degenerated into a remnant low. The exposed low-level circulation is well separated from deep convection associated with the monsoon trough based on geostationary satellite imagery. The low is expected to move just south of west for the next couple of days in the near surface flow. Lane should open into a trough by mid-week, however this could occur sooner. This is the last NHC advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/1500Z 11.1N 132.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 04/0000Z 11.0N 133.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 04/1200Z 10.9N 134.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0000Z 10.7N 135.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics